2030年亚洲实力将超越美欧
[align=left][font=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif][size=14px][font=Verdana, Arial, Tahoma][size=12px][b]Asia will wield more global power than the US and Europe combined by 2030, a forecast from the US intelligence community has found.[/b][/size][/font][font=Verdana, Arial, Tahoma][size=12px][b]美国一家情报机构预测，2030年亚洲的全球影响力将超越美国与欧洲。[/b][/size][/font]
[font=Verdana, Arial, Tahoma][size=12px]Within two decades China will overtake the US as the world's largest [url=http://www.enread.com/news/business/91203.html]economy[/url], the report adds.[/size][/font]
[font=Verdana, Arial, Tahoma][size=12px]It also warns of slower growth and falling living standards in advanced nations with ageing populations.[/size][/font]
[font=Verdana, Arial, Tahoma][size=12px]Global Trends 2030, issued to coincide with Mr Obama's second term, says it aims to promote strategic thinking.[/size][/font]
[font=Verdana, Arial, Tahoma][size=12px]Published every four years, the report from the National Intelligence Council (NIC) aims to draw together a wide sweep of "megatrends" driving transformation in the world.[/size][/font]
[font=Verdana, Arial, Tahoma][size=12px][b]'Slow relative decline'[/b][/size][/font]
[font=Verdana, Arial, Tahoma][size=12px]The NIC suggests that by 2030, Asia will have more "overall power" than the US and Europe combined - taking into account population size, gross domestic product (GDP), military spending and investment in technology.[/size][/font]
[font=Verdana, Arial, Tahoma][size=12px]"China alone will probably have the largest economy, surpassing that of the United States a few years before 2030," the report says.[/size][/font]
[font=Verdana, Arial, Tahoma][size=12px]"Meanwhile, the economies of [url=http://www.enread.com/news/business/91203.html]Europe[/url], Japan, and Russia are likely to continue their slow relative declines."[/size][/font]
[font=Verdana, Arial, Tahoma][size=12px]But the report says it does not anticipate that China will emerge as a superpower in the mould of the US, forging coalitions to take on international issues.[/size][/font]
[font=Verdana, Arial, Tahoma][size=12px]Speaking at a news briefing, Mathew Burrows, counsellor to the National Intelligence Council said: "Being the largest economic power is important... [but] it isn't necessarily the largest economic power that always is going to be the superpower."[/size][/font]
[font=Verdana, Arial, Tahoma][size=12px]The "[b]megatrends（大趋势）[/b]" identified by the report include individual empowerment and transfer of power from the West to the global East and South.[/size][/font]
[font=Verdana, Arial, Tahoma][size=12px]It highlights ageing societies and a growing middle class, as well as diminishing natural resources, as key global themes.[/size][/font]
[font=Verdana, Arial, Tahoma][size=12px]Within the next two decades the US will achieve energy independence, and the size of urban populations around the world will rise sharply, the report says.[/size][/font]
[font=Verdana, Arial, Tahoma][size=12px]But, the report adds, questions about the global economy, governance, evolving methods of conflict, regional spillover, new technologies and the future role of the US could dramatically impact the [url=http://www.enread.com/news/business/91203.html]global[/url] picture over the next 20 years.[/size][/font]
[font=Verdana, Arial, Tahoma][size=12px]The study is the fifth in a series. The last edition was published in 2008.[/size][/font]
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[align=left][font=Arial, Helvetica, simsun, u5b8bu4f53][size=14px]更多[/size][/font][/align][align=left][font=Arial, Helvetica, simsun, u5b8bu4f53][size=14px][b][size=5][color=#963c3c][url=http://www.enread.com/news/index.html]英语新闻[/url][/color][/size][/b][/size][/font][/align] It's far away
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